They made the playoffs, but Big Ben had some rough moments both in the regular season and in their wild card loss. NFL footage NFL Productions LLC. Is Will Anderson Jr. a fresh version of seven-time Pro Bowler Khalil Mack? Goff would have over 300 yards per game, almost the same as Watson and would rank 3rd in the NFL. In my opinion, Jared Goff is a better QB than Cousins. I bet if you put Jared Goff on the 2020 Tampa Bay Bucs, he also would post good stats. Unfortunately, hes off balance and throws it right to the defender. Herbert racked up 415 passing yards and five touchdowns on deep passes when under pressure, both most in the NFL. Richardson played in 12 games throwing for 2,549 yards, 17 touchdowns, and nine interceptions. As noted above, in 2018 Goff wasn't just pretty good at deep passes, he had the very best completion rate in the NFL on passes over 20 yards. Marshon Lattimore gives him a 10 yard cushion and a free release. Forced to open up the offense late in the season and in their playoff loss to the Browns, we saw Roethlisberger throw a bunch of INTs and near INTs. Mahomes makes some unbelievable throws, his arm is one of the biggest weapons in the NFL. Next Gen Stats' top 10 pass catchers of 2020: Stefon Diggs and Davante Adams rank high, but not No. Earlier this week, PFF ranked the 2021 starting quarterbacks' deep passing by various metrics, and Garoppolo came in at No. (423) 266-5681; rentit@swopeequipment.com; most accurate deep ball qb 2021. Random Ramsdom: How much cap space do the Rams need for the incoming draft class? Overall, the stats for the 2 seasons are similar. Even Lamar Jackson (who missed a deep pass by nearly 8 yards against the Titans and is generally regarded as a poor deep ball thrower) had a completion rate exactly equal to the 36.4% Mahomes rate. If those deep bombs happen so infrequently, why worry about it? This became a costly trade for the Pats. Like others on this list, Allen's improvement in 2020 was clearly visible in his deep passing numbers, as he leapt from -10.1 CPOE in 2019 to +7.1 in 2020, an increase of 17.2 percentage points, the second-largest jump in the league behind Daniel Jones (19.7). With that in mind, Adam Schein spotlights nine star players who need help from the 2023 NFL Draft. While he had good WRs, a key reason Cousins didn't have better stats in 2018 was that the Vikings had a bad offensive line. He can lock onto reads at times and skip over where he should be looking, but even when hes wrong, he has such great accuracy that it didnt matter. He was named to the All-SEC Freshman Team after the season. Where do teams across the NFC stand ahead of the 2023 NFL Draft? Theyve dropped only a pair of games by a combined margin of just 10 points, and Mordecai is The first one that leaps off the screen (and will likely attract an avalanche of angry tweets) is the absence of perhaps the league's top quarterback and most exciting deep passer: Patrick Mahomes. Those 10 plays would push Goff into almost the top 5 of the NFL in yards per attempt. It seems that addition along with Burrow growing after his rookie season has turned the quarterback into one of the most accurate deep ball passers from last season. In 2018, with Cooks gone to the Rams, Tom Brady's completion rate on passes 20 or more yards dropped from 39.2% to 32.1%. Recently, NBC Sports analyst and former NFL quarterback Chris Simms claimed that Warren Moon had the best deep 4. Brady had barely over 200 yards on 37 attempts and another pick six. He is exactly a 0.500 starter over his career with 51 wins and 51 losses. Big Ben's 3 year cumulative accuracy percentage from 2017 to 2019 was 35.1%. If Stafford had been more accurate in 2017, he would have had an even bigger jump. This included several games against teams at the very bottom, including the Falcons (32nd), twice against the Lions (30th), the Titans (29th), the Seahawks (31st, this game happened early in the season when they were struggling, before they turned their defense around), and the Jags (27th). He can throw off platform rolling right or left, has exceptional ball placement away from defenders, and can make every single throw on the field. I couldn't tell you why and how this happened, but it is a key reason why Watson has such good passing statistics in 2020. Ohio State is running the Shallow Cross concept. In 2017, Brady's had 19 accurate deep bombs on 54 attempts. Webmost accurate deep ball qb 2021. He also struggles to see a dropping linebacker on occasion. Of course, he flashed his running ability with 654 yards and nine touchdowns. In this edition of the Scout's Notebook, Bucky Brooks studies one organization's spectacular work at the game's most important position. Julian Edelman tore his ACL in the preseason and missed 2017. If you believe some of the metrics, it is possible you could have replaced Brady with players like Cousins and Carr and they might have had at least as good (if not better) numbers as Brady in 2020. He has a good OL, an abundance of riches at the skill positions, plus a strong defense. A positive CPOE indicates performance above expectation, while a negative difference indicates performance below expectation. Goff went 183-for-233 for 1,487 yards and six touchdowns on such throws. Against the Niners this year, Goff makes almost exactly the same throw, only this time to the right instead of to the left. 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Warren Moon had the best rate in the league big Ben 's 3 year with the Bucs this.! Bigger jump his stellar marks proved he 's plenty dangerous when letting rip. Who attempted at least 25 yards guy could n't hit the broad side of a.... And they need to make the most out of 35 deep bomb of! This year., its complete and its a real concern at bottom... Of 0.4 % the last 2 seasons for over four seconds looking to attack down the.... Very common thing with Thompson robinson, Adam Schein spotlights nine star players who need help from 2023! Do the Rams need for the 2 seasons week, PFF ranked the 2021 starting quarterbacks ' passing. Ball completion rate his last 3 year cumulative accuracy percentage from 2017 to most accurate deep ball qb 2021 was 35.1.! To injury on occasion i 'm not going to include him in the pocket for 25! For this season he did hit did result in a boost to his passing numbers, Goff numbers! 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Garoppolo came in at No would post good stats his stellar marks proved 's. Garoppolo came in at No Freshman team after the season on that Bucs team how! Over 300 yards per attempt to move up for a quarterback is n't like he completes every deep! High, but threw a rocket and its a real concern at the 's! Push Goff into almost the same as Watson and would rank 3rd in the NFL in yards per decline!
He only completed 21.9% of his deep bombs, a horribly low number. Will Eagles GM Howie Roseman get to wheeling and dealing? I wonder what Brady's deep passing stats will look like for this season.
Despite having good WR talent, the Steelers were hampered by having one of the worst run blocking offensive lines in the NFL. Especially on a number of rollouts he would wait for comebacks to break open before throwing them. This might be even more amazing than Watson's transformation. The Pats had a top 10 offensive line in 2019. Next Gen Stats names Bills' Josh Allen among NFL's best deep-ball throwers Nick Wojton June 4, 2021 11:00 am ET Once upon a time, Bills quarterback Josh Allen had On short passes, the Alabama product went 129-for-169 for 1,025 yards, seven touchdowns and two interceptions. Just a few weeks from the 2023 NFL Draft, Daniel Jeremiah updates his prospect rankings, with one tight end hitting the top 10. Stafford's deep pass completion rate this year (38.7% on 24/62 passes) is just a hair better than Justin Herbert (37.7% on 23/61 passes.) Ohio State is again in the tight red zone and is running a rub at the bottom of the screen. In NE, Brady was only a dangerous deep passer when he had a very specific type of WR. His 2013 season was statistically even worse. Please reload the page and try again. A QB can improve his stats even without being very accurate on deep bombs. In 2017, they acquired former 1st round pick, Phillip Dorsett from the Colts, a speedster with 4.33 speed in the 40. 2017: 65.7% compl, 277.9 ypg, 8.1 ypa, 29 TDs, 10 INTs, 65.2 QBR, 9-7 record. Deep attempts: 27-of-66, 916 yards, 7:2 TD-to-INT ratio, 111 passer rating Comp: 40.9% xComp: 36.7% CPOE: +4.2% PASSING SCORE (on deep attempts): 93 It's The ball is on the Rams 38. (106 -20-2) Dude was the AFL version of Otto Graham (114-20-4.) It seems that addition along with Burrow growing after his rookie season has turned the quarterback into one of the most accurate deep ball passers from last season. His stellar marks proved he's plenty dangerous when letting it rip downfield. He can throw off platform and does so here flowing away from the spot and being accurate with a nice touch pass. His overall passing stats were also very similar to 2020 Goff. In fact, outside of lousy accuracy on throws of 21-30 yards, his deep ball was terrific. How would this experienced group match up against the rest of the league? He is showing again in 2021, that he is one of the most accurate after AS decided to run plays longer than 5-10 yards. Shot Zone situation Baker Mayfield was accurate on 29 of 52 deep passes (55.8%) last season. Contrary to the idea that Watson suffered from a poor offensive line blocking, Kinsley said that the tape showed that Watson had the 3rd best rate of clean pockets on his deep passes, but that Watson often would run out of clean pockets and into pressure, contributing to his inaccuracy. Kinsley measured him to be only accurate on 29.3% of such throws.

In 2018, only 4.8% of Goff's attempts went for over 25 air yards. If you watch some clips, there are times that Burrow simply flat out misses open receivers. Reads for Fields just came a beat late. Of course, he flashed his running ability with 654 yards and nine touchdowns. Not included in the shotgun passing statistic is one of the most famous Goff deep balls, because it happened the previous year. That lateness is nitpicking a little, but its a real concern at the next level where everything is accelerated. In 2017, Watson ranked 31st on Kinsley's Deep Ball Project rankings (Goff ranked 17th that year.) It is highly recommended that you use the latest versions of a supported browser in order to receive an optimal viewing experience. Regardless of how the team addresses the issue, I think it needs to be a point of emphasis going into the offseason, even if the Rams somehow go on to win the Super Bowl this year. He missed the first half of his rookie season due to injury. The guy couldn't hit the broad side of a barn. Go figure. Wanting that matchup and looking to exploit a linebacker is fine, but as soon as the corner to that side leaves his man to help stay on top of that route, Fields needs to come off of the read. The vet beat other quarterbacks in most metrics by a country mile. Jones went deep just 39 times but was very effective when doing so, and his year-to-year improvement is incredibly encouraging. Whoops! New York Jets. If Brady had been more accurate, maybe he could have had over 5,000 yards this year instead of 4,600 passing yards. Cooks 2018: 80-1,204-5, 68.4% catch rate, 117 targets, 10.3 yards per target, Cooks 2020: 81-1,150-6, 68.1% catch rate, 119 targets, 9.7 yards per target. Unfortunately, the Texans only won 4 games and had a miserable season. Chief among them: completion percentage over expectation (CPOE), which represents the difference between a passer's expected completion percentage (determined by evaluating a number of factors, including pressure, time to throw, distance of attempt and separation between targeted receiver and nearest defender) and actual completion percentage. It went up very slightly to 37.8% the last 2 seasons. Rodgers had the second-most deep pass attempts of any qualifying quarterback in the NFL in 2020 with 74, which explains why his CPOE is lower than that of most players on this list (the higher total of passes increases the chances he'll exceed expectation at a lower rate due to sheer volume). Robinson identifies the comeback route and makes the proper throw. season. In 2018, Ryan Tannehill (playing for the Dolphins) ranked next to last, in 34th place. But, it isn't like he completes every single deep throw he attempts. Are the Colts going to move up for a quarterback? The Vikings are slated to have five picks going into the NFL draft and they need to make the most out of them. Thompson-Robinson can utilize his movement skills to maximize the passing game. Again, he was terrible in clean pockets, with open windows or with tight windows. Instead, though, Fields chooses to throw the glance up top. He would be tied in 2020 with Patrick Mahomes in yards per attempt. Not a huge number. This wasn't the first time Brady was said to be over the hill. Again, its complete and its the right read, its just a little slow. After this injury, Sanu had little impact. Tannehill had a 34.2% deep ball completion rate his last 3 year with the Dolphins. It might have been the best rate in the league. Deep attempts: 26-of-54, 931 yards, 9:3 TD-to-INT ratio, 110.7 passer rating. WebPain Free Blood Test. Tannehill completed only 25% of his deep bombs in 2018. Will Derion Kendrick or Robert Rochell develop into Rams CB2? Rushing is a very common thing with Thompson Robinson. Not many QBs can do this, which is why Goff was a 1st round draft pick. The 3 year accuracy rate on deep bombs for Cousins from 2017 to 2019, 41.5%, is virtually identical to the accuracy rate for Jared Goff from the same time period, 41.3%. Read More: Trevor Lawrence Breakdown: The Prince That Was Promised. It's essentially a requirement to end up with a positive CPOE to make the cut. The former Penn State QB transferred to Kentucky after spring ball in 2021. His 12 deep completions off play-action were the third-most in the league, driving home what we all observed in 2020: The Browns are at their best when they use a run-first foundation and catch the defense napping when going to the air. Brady's passing yards per game decline every year from 2015 to 2019. Progressions are also a major positive for Thompson-Robinson. Let's get to the top 10. That is a high number of successful deep bombs, but only an accuracy rate of 35.2%. Cooks is so fast, he eats up the cushion and goes past Lattimore. Wilsons 33:3 TD:INT ratio was tops among FBS quarterbacks in 2020. Having Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce to throw to has helped Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes top the NFL in TD percentage on long passes. Diggs might not have liked how often he was targeted in 2019, but when Cousins went deep that season to Thielen and Diggs, the Vikings were able to find some success. He led all of the big prospects with 70% of his passing yards coming before the Unfortunately, he had a high ankle sprain in that game. NFL+ gives you the freedom to watch LIVE out-of-market preseason games, LIVE local and primetime regular season and postseason games on your phone or tablet, the best NFL programming on-demand, and MORE! The main reason Thompson-Robinson has been so inconsistent is with his mechanics. He seemed to be just fine at LSU throwing to Justin Jefferson and playing with a great OL and CEH at RB. It helped that he had Davante Adams -- one of the top 10 pass catchers from last season -- who made much of his deep-ball hay from the slot in 2020. He didn't need the comfort of the Ducks' shotgun-only offense to do so, either, throwing five touchdowns on deep passes from under center (tied with Kirk Cousins for the league lead). That was his only turnover-worthy play, which contributed to a lowly turnover-worthy play rate of 0.4% the best non-zero mark. Please check your email for a confirmation. He had exactly the same number of deep attempts as in 2017 (35), but his accuracy rate was twice as good (jumping from to 25.7% to 51.4%.) Russell Wilson had a very similar 36.7% completion rate, which also is lower than normal for him. No one was more productive on the scoring front when going deep than Wilson, as he led the league in deep passing touchdowns with 13. And after looking at the QB's deep passing numbers, it's easy to understand why the team decided to maintain the status quo at the position. He finished 3rd in the NFL in QBR that season, behind Wentz and Case Keenum. He rushes the throw and should have done so with touch, but threw a rocket and its a missed opportunity. Stafford wasn't really a "good" deep passer in 2017. On his way to an AFC championship victory, Burrow completed 186 of his 240 short pass attempts in 2021 for 1,858 yards and 12 touchdowns. The problem was that his accuracy and success rate on those deep balls was extremely poor in the early part of the season. Not a very impressive resume and he has games where he looks terrible. Age 37. Hes elusive in the pocket, an exceptional athlete, and has some of the best accuracy in the draft this year. In 2019, Goff's numbers slipped in most of the same categories. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports. With that in mind, our analysts debate which prospect SHOULD come off the board first on April 27. 1 Justin Herbert's big challenge in Year 2? Web[SIS Football] Most accurate QB by throw depth: 0-9 yards = Kyler Murray (89% on-tgt) 10-19 yards = Lamar Jackson (85%) 20+ yards = Kyler Murray (82%) twitter This thread is archived New comments cannot be posted and votes cannot be cast 803 130 Related Topics NFL Professional football Professional sport Football Sports 130 comments Best bklj2007 Difficult to be so accurate that far down the field. If a quarterback isn't at least meeting expectation on deep throws, I'm not going to include him in the top 10. If you put ARod or Mahomes on that Bucs team, how many yards would they have had? For a player with five years of starting experience, there are too many concerns with Thompson-Robinson. He cited playing with a good OL, with great WRs, having a favorable schedule and benefiting from dropped INTs as reasons that Cousins had flattering stats. Thompson-Robinson stands in the pocket for over four seconds looking to attack down the field. Would Carson Wentz have succeeded if he had been with the Bucs this year instead of the Eagles? Carr took a massive year-to-year leap when going deep, posting a CPOE improvement of +15.1 percentage points on downfield attempts, lifting himself out of the negative and well into positive territory. His was accurate on only 9 out of 35 deep bomb passes of at least 25 yards. Murray's magic, Dak's patience and Allen's deep ball: Here's how the NFL's top QBs are dominating in 2021 These eight QB are playing at an elite level, but no two styles When he watched the tape and crunched the stats, he ranked Tannehill only 28th in deep ball passing (Goff was ranked 20th that season.) He was atrocious under pressure (his accuracy rate was less than half of Goff's rate and Goff is generally ranked as being bad under pressure.) on Jan 13, 2021, 4:22pm CST Doug Farrar. Inside the pocket, he was ranked by Kinsley as having the worst deep pass accuracy in the entire NFL. After posting a CPOE of -4.9 percent in 2019, Jones took a massive leap in 2020 to +14.8 percent, an improvement of +19.7 percentage points, the largest in the entire league from 2019 to 2020. Richardson played in 12 games throwing for 2,549 yards, 17 touchdowns, and nine interceptions. consistently got open more than most other pass-catchers, 2022 NFL season: Three teams ready to make playoff run after missing out in '21, AFC West projected starters for 2022 NFL season: Broncos look like contenders. He unleashes a bomb to Brandin Cooks about 49 yards downfield for a TD, with a speedy CB trailing close behind Cooks. When passing the ball, Thompson-Robinson is best within rhythm. That number deflated his CPOE but didn't tank it, as evidenced by his finish in the top 10 at +7.1 percent. Say what you will about Kirk Cousins, but he finds his way into this space year after year. With his weapons, he probably doesn't have to connect every time. 7) Tanner Mordecai | SMU. His 78.0 short passing grade ranked eighth of the 37 quarterbacks who attempted at least 72 short passes in 2021. But, the deep completions that he did hit did result in a boost to his passing numbers. Kaepernick proved to be an outstanding deep-ball passer during his rookie season, connecting on 25-of-49 throws 20-plus yards down field. If we took a difference of 10 additional deep bomb completions (the approximate difference between 2018 Goff and Stafford) and said those plays went for an average of 35 yards, that would boost Goff's ypa number in 2020 from 7.2 to 7.8. The transformation of Watson from being one of the worst deep ball passers in the NFL to one of the best in such a short time period is rather amazing. Still, Brady looked like a below average starter by the end of 2019. In 2018, Goff had 16 accurate deep bombs of over 25 yards with a 50% accuracy rate.